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Although my overall experience with sports
arbitrage has been very positive and profitable,
there have been a number of companies I
have dealt with which, frankly, conned me.
Some losses have been small and just irritating,
whilst others have been substantial and
quite painful to bear.
Everything here is an expression of my
personal opinions based on my personal experience,
written not out of rancour but just to act
as a warning to you to exercise caution. Of
late, there have been a large number of companies, mostly from
Australia, which have been selling sports arbitrage software for
up-front sums in excess of $5,000. There are numerous stories on the
web about how these operations are cons - it's actually so bad that the
Australian Competition & Consumer Commission has released a warning which, unfortunately, seems to attack sports arbitrage itself as well as the types of scam described here. There
are some basic things to keep in mind to protect yourself from such a
scam without losing out on the opportunities that sports arbitrage can
give you: 1. If a company tells you that they will trade with
your money or your behalf, DO NOT GIVE THEM YOUR MONEY. These
operations are Ponzi schemes, it's as simple as that. They will appeal
to your greed by offering you impossibly large returns & they will
suggest that you start by investing a small amount to give you
confidence. Of course, you will receive some interest back on this
initial investment because the end-game for them is to get a large
investment before they disappear with your money. Be careful; there are individuals who have lost as much as $50,000 to these types of scams. 2.
If a company wants to sell you software for a large upfront fee, and
uses high-pressure sales tactics to get you to make a decision, just
back away. These companies make promises that are impossible to keep
and they will make it sound as though they have software that does
things that no other can do. It's all lies and that's why they want
your money upfront in a big lump. If they were able to deliver what
they promise, then they would operate a subscription service - it would
yield more for them over the long-term if they deliver and it would
give their customers the ability to cancel if they don't.
Here is a curent list of known scams as desribed above:
***New Scam Alert***
A new breed of scams has recently started to surface; companies claiming to enable 'auto-betting' of your funds. The sites are very slick and very convincing, preying on the general public's lack of knowledge and, of course, greed.
The most prominent of these currently is 'Quarta Dimensio'
DO NOT BE TAKEN IN, THERE IS NO FOOLPROOF AUTOMATED METHOD TO TRADE ARBS; IF THERE WERE THEN THEY WOULD NOT NEED YOUR MONEY, WOULD THEY?
Read more about 'automated betting' scams: click here..
Other well-known scams:
* Kirkberry Pty Ltd www.kirkberry.com.au
* Draven Group www.dravengroup.com
* SportsSureWin http://sportsurewin.blogspot.com/
* ArbitrageUnion http://arbitrageunion.blogspot.com/
* ProActivtrader http://proactivtrader.co.uk
* STS http://proactivtrader.com/
* GoldNuggetInvest http://goldnuggetinvest.com
* DT Platform http://dtplatform.com
* MGM Sports http://mgmsports.net.au/
* GSI Global Sports Investment http://globalinvest.com.au/
* Global Success Trader http://globalsuccesstrader.com.au/
* XFT Sniper http://www.xft-sniper.com/
* Baranstone www.baranstone.com and www.baranstone.co.uk
* TradeSmart Technologies www.tradesmarttechnologies.com
* Global Arbtraders www.globalarbtraders.com
* WTS www.wtsystems.com.au or www.wtsinvestments.com.au
* Rhodes Peninsular Investments www.rhodespi.com.au
* Oz Future www.ozfuture.com.au
* Spectre Trading www.spectretrading.com.au
* Spectre holdings http://spectreholdings.com.au
* Blue Point Trading http://bluepointtrading.com.au
* Cohen Strachan Investments CSI www.csiarbitrage.com.au
* AusSoft www.aussoft.net.au
* Globalsoft www.globalsofttechnologies.com
* Reevera www.reevera.com.au
* St Gallens Investments www.stgallens.com.au
* Suncity Equities and Investments www.suncityei.com
* Forbes International Trading www.forbestrading.com
* Pro arb Traders http://proarbtraders.net
* AFL Arbs www.aflarbs.com
* Standford & Associates http://standfordassociates.com
* Kinsealy Software www.kinsealy.com
* 247-Web.com www.247-web.com
* Sort Traders www.sorttraders.com
* X Software Solutions www.xsoftwaresolutions.com
* Profit From Differences www.profitfromdifferences.com
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WinRiskFree/BetArbitrage - Arb Hunting
Software
Update: I have been threatened
with legal action by the WinRiskFree company
for posting email correspondence on my site.
This came as quite a shock to me, but I
suppose the company has to do what it can
to prevent bad news about it leaking out.
Therefore, I've edited parts of my report
below, taking out the email and paraphrasing
instead.
This company is now also advertising
under the guise of "BetArbitrage".
Beware - it is the same company and same
product.
When I first read about this, I thought
it may well be the ultimate solution for
arb-hunting. Software that you run on your
own computer, which downloads prices from
bookmakers and spits arbs out at you.
The demo version is free to download,
so I went for it with great excitement,
calculating that if this worked as well
as the vendor claimed, then I'd be able
to replace all of my expenditure on arb
services with a subscription to this software.
The demo, which is restricted to getting
prices from two bookmakers, loaded up easily
enough and I had it running in less than
10 minutes.
I did a few quick comparisons with the
actual bookmaker sites and was able to verify
that the software was gathering the prices
"live". I noticed that it wasn't
quite real-time, as there was a lot of work
going on in the background in order while
the data was being processed. Still it was
a lot faster than I could do manually so
I thought I'd give it a shot and purchase
the full version.
After my experience with Odds Exchange,
I decided to be cautious and opt for the
1-month package, with a view to allowing
the next month's profits to pay for the
full year.
The update to the full version was easy
and within 10 minutes, I had it installed
and was ready to run it. The full version
had 20 bookmakers and scanned each for 8
sports - soccer, tennis and 6 American sports.
There were a few preference settings to
go through, such as choosing which bookmakers
and sports to scan and what level of arb
should trigger an alarm. There were 2 bookmakers
which I do not use so I disabled those,
leaving 18 on the list. I also switched
off soccer because of the time of year and
because I wanted to concentrate first on
2-way arbs.
By now I was extremely excited at the thought
of having the software patrolling for arbs
on my behalf.
I pressed the button to start the scanning
and watched as the program's window began
filling up with data, from one bookmaker
at a time. It appeared to be working exactly
as the demo had done, except that I was
noticing a considerable slowdown in my PC.
As I attempted to write an email, the words
I was typing were taking a couple of seconds
to display on my screen - as if my fingers
were faster than my computer - which was
very unusual.
*This part of my report has been edited
due to the threat by WinRiskFree of legal
action against me*
When I tried to find out from the company
whether this was normal or if anything could
be done about it, I found out that since
building the content for the main display
involves cross querying many lines it was
likely to use 100% of the computer resources,
causing the computer to freeze. In fact,
the program appears to have been designed
to hog resources because that is the quickest
way for it to update the active lines. The
advice given is to stop the program once
an arb has been found, so that the heavy
processing can also stop. Solutions to this
dilemma appear to be to limit the amount
of time the software is run and reduce the
number of bookmakers that it scans. In my
view this defeats the object.
I had just bought a new PC in June. It's
the most powerful computer I have ever owned
and at the time I purchased it my son told
me that the specification was overkill for
my purposes so I know that my PC is up to
the job.
My new computer:
Processor: Pentium 4: 3.0GHz
Memory (RAM): Dual-channel DDR400/333: 1GB
Memory (Hard drive) U160 SCSI: 146GB
Graphics: 8X AGP
My initial excitement about this software
was fast turning to disappointment.
I decided to try my best to make the software
pay for itself and then stop using it. I
paid $100 for the month so I didn't think
it would be too hard to make it back.
I started it up, running 18 bookmakers
but only scanning for one sport - tennis.
It didn't take long for my system to slow
down again, although it was bearable as
long as I didn't have anything else running.
I shut down Quicken, Excel and Outlook and
turned the volume up so that I'd hear any
arbs come in.
After about 10 minutes, I heard the alarm,
and saw that the software had indeed located
an arb. The details were
NADAL 1.25 LADBROKES
NORMAN 5.50 OLYMPIC
>>>>>>>>98.18%
I stopped the program from scanning, and
typed some numbers into its built-in stake
calculator. I knew that Ladbrokes would
limit my stake to £250 but I would
be able to double this by using my son's
account. So I was to place a total of £500
on Nadal and balance this with £115
on Norman.
I placed my bets at Ladbrokes whilst I
had the betslip at Olympic ready. I then
entered my stake at Olympic at which point,
the screen froze. An error message came
up saying the WinRiskFree has caused an
illegal operation and would now shut down.
I clicked okay and, to my horror, my computer
rebooted of its own accord. It took 3 minutes
for it to shut down and fully reboot during
which time I was sweating the fact that
I still had £500 outstanding at Ladbrokes.
As soon as I was able to, I went back to
Olympic only to find that their price had
now moved to 4.50. DAMN! This now meant
that I had to place £147 on Norman
and accept a locked-in loss of £22
instead of a sure win of £11
So my first arb with this software had
turned into a loss because it crashed my
system. I decided to go downstairs for a
walk to calm down.
When I returned, I opened Outlook to write
an email to the software company. I had
actually forgotten about leaving Outlook
closed and it turned out that I had missed
several arb opportunities from my other
subscription services. I scanned through
them half-heartedly, knowing that they would
all be expired by now when 2 very similar
arbs caught my eye. They were both on the
Nadal/Norman match and both involved Ladbrokes
and Olympic. The differences were that one
had arrived 6 minutes before WinRiskFree
had alerted me and the other had arrived
almost 5 full minutes before that. In addition,
the early one showed Olympic as offering
6.50 on Norman - which meant that I had
missed out on a 7% arb.
Again I tried to find out why this program
was not performing as I expected it to.
*This part of my report has been edited
due to the threat by WinRiskFree of legal
action against me*
It appears that the logic used by the
software to pull lines is not perfect. It
assumes that the HTML format has not changed.
When bookmaker sites change the layout of
their sites even slightly (which happens
extremely often - daily in some cases) the
software then may not show any lines from
that site, or it may show wild numbers that
do not correctly reflect the bookmaker's
lines.
It also became clear to me that the software
is not equipped to deal with the many variances
in the way that bookmakers might spell the
names of teams of players. If the spelling
is not standard, then that bookmaker's prices
are ignored and any arbs which it may be
involved in are not reported.
In addition, since the software relies entirely
upon my computer resources and the bandwidth
provided by my internet connection bandwidth
to gather and process the information, this
is a source of potential bottlenecks which
slowdown the software so that some arbs
are advised late.
So, when using this software, you still
need to monitor the bookmaker sites manually,
or simply remain ignorant of many arbs that
are being missed due to these variances.
For me, this means that there is absolutely
no value from this software as it does not
actually reduce the amount of work involved.
Laughably, the company still claims that
"Despite these occasional problems,
you will find that getting your lines directly
from the bookmakers is far superior to any
competing systems."
I have been severely disappointed
with this company and its software. Perhaps
my expectations were too high, but I would
advise against wasting any time or money
with them.
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earnriskfree.com / riskfreeprofit.com /
surebetpro.com
My normal instinct was to stay away from
this outfit for the following reasons:
- they are pushing their arbitrage software
as an MLM opportunity
- they appear to have a number of aliases
that they operate under
- much of their site text has been copied
from other arbitrage websites
- they use unknown payment processors which
they have chopped and changed at least twice
since I have been watching them
All of this gave me the initial feeling
that there is something not quite right
about this company.
In the end, it's only because of this site,
and the number of requests I've had for
a review of the software, that I decided
to give it a try.
Well, I wasted $139.
The software seems to be a copy of the
winriskfree software but with a different
look. Actually it looks very pretty, resembling
software found on the Apple Mac. But it
has exactly the same problems as the winriskfree
software and I uninstalled it after 5 minutes.
To add insult to injury I'm now getting
2 or 3 spam messages each day from people
who have been sucked into the MLM aspect
& are now trying to make money by recruiting
new members!
UPDATE: The company owner,
a James Beattie, has recently started making
claims that he made a deal with 50 bookmakers
to get their odds directly into the software.
Unfortunately, this appears to be a blatant
lie. It seems to me that they have done
a deal with the likes of oddsexchange.com
or betbrain.com to use their lines. This
has almost no value because the data is
available for free on the respective websites
and the problem is that it is not updated
frequently enough to be of use in arbitrage.
It's my opinion that the people running
this are simply trying to hype up some inferior
software using MLM techniques to make as
much as they can from unsuspecting customers
and agents as fast as they can before it
all
caves in.
I will revisit this again in a few months
to see if anything has changed, but for
the time being my recommendation is to steer
clear.
UPDATE: In the last 6-8 months,
RFP have become operational and they have
made some changes to their desktop software.
It no longer hogs PC resources as before.
However, my opinion of RFP is that they
have a slick marketing method and an army
of recruits willing to say anything in order
to sell more product. With respect to the
product itself, the desktop software is
now very well-presented and has some nice
features. The fundamental problem is their
price-collection: it is much slower than
4 out of 6 of the other software-driven
service providers and it delivers most arbs
4-6 minutes later than the competition.
This goes some way to confirm that the claim
about direct price-feeds is a lie. It has
also occurred to me that if they genuinely
had a direct feed then their software would
never display errors. Since this is not
the case, by a long shot, my feeling remains
that they continue to use an inferior 3rd
party solution to collect the odds.
Until they resolve this, the
product is close to useless for trading
purposes - which is why the MLM army sell
it so enthusiastically; it's the only way
for them to make money with the product. UPDATE
2008: RFP have gone out of business with, surprise surprise, all of the
money that their clients had invested with them in their 'trading
pool'.
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ArbTracker
This is another MLM company using arbitrage
software as the product.
ArbTracker displays arbs on a website in
a members-only area. The results are fairly
poor and seem to be gleaned from the free
odds-sites such as Betbrain.
A little research on Google actually reveals
that the owners of this company used to
work with surebetpro (above) and stole the
customer list to start up a rival. Although
this doesn't necessarily have any impact
on the service, it does give you some idea
of the type of people running the company
and how safe your own personal details might
be in their hands.
My advice would be to avoid any contact
with this company and certainly not to give
them any money unless they are first able
to impress you with a free trial.
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First Independent Corporation
This company recently started advertising
offline (and spamming online) quite heavily
and for some reason they refer to arbs as
"agios".
The content of the ads is extreme hype,
suggesting for example, that there is a
potential to increase funds employed by
up to 320% over a month. Sports arbitrage
can be profitable but certainly not to that
degree.
Companies that advertise this way are usually
best avoided - if they are prepared to present
such hype and nonsense as a realistic appraisal
of sports arbitrage, then in my opinion
they are either liars or completely ignorant
of the activity.
However, after a brief telephone conversation
with the proprietor, Mr. John Donaldson,
I was offered a 4-week free trial which
I accepted.
Although Mr. Donaldson claimed to be using
"special software and a team of specialists"
to source the arbs, it appears that the
majority of the arbs are simply relayed
from some of the other online arbitrage
services. On most occasions, email messages
would arrive between 30 and 60 minutes after
I had received the same information from
other sources.
Services such as this are simply
a waste of time and money and it is unfortunate
that they seem to be proliferating the web
as the interest in sports arbitrage increases.
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Sportsmaster "Sportsbet"
software
This was my first venture into buying
"arbitrage software". Unfortunately,
the site grossly exaggerates the scope of
the software. It does not automatically
search for arbs - all it does is help you
to calculate whether an arb exists, when
you type in the details. The whole process
of typing in details is a lot slower than
just using a calculator or spreadsheet and
after spending a full 90 minutes making
sure that I wasn't missing something, I
have not gone back to it again.
They also provided a service, which was
supposed to update the software with arbs.
In actual fact, they sent out 2 emails per
week - on Friday and Saturday listing a
few "value bets". There are hardly
any arbs and there is no sense of urgency
about the service as there would need to
be for any effective arb service.
This software, despite what the
vendors suggest, will definitely not help
you to find arbs automatically, so bear
this in mind if you decide to buy it
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Hedgesyn.com - Arbitrage HYIP
(High Yield Investment Program)
This site promises investors a 10% return
every 10 days, which equates to 30% each
month.
It is not possible to make this
type of return with sports-arbitrage consistently
- a diligent trader will be able to return
10% each month whilst a single month return
of 20% would be absolutely outstanding.
The people running this program have thus
far ignored all invitations to explain how
they can guarantee such unrealistic returns
and as far as I can tell, the only way it
is possible is by paying current member
returns out of a mixture of arbitrage profits
and new member investments. In other words,
your returns will depend on the program
managers suckering more investors into paying
in to the fund.
Update: As of 3rd December, Hedgesyn
appear to claiming that their e-Gold account
has been "hacked" resulting in
the loss of about 70% of client funds. Surprise,
surprise.
There are quite a few of these types of
"investment" programs springing
up these days and they should all be avoided
unless they offer much more realistic returns.
In any case, however, you should keep in
mind that your funds will not be protected
by any regulator and you will effectively
be handing your money over to a group of
strangers whom you will simply have to trust
to do the right thing.
It is very unfortunate that Oddsexchange.com,
a company that really should know better,
is now actually endorsing hedgesyn.com as
a legitimate investment. They are doing
this as affiliates - so they have a financial
interest in signing up new investors. This
appalls me as it has all the makings of
a scam which will fleece those who are least
able to afford a loss. It has lowered my
opinion of the people running Oddsexchange.com
considerably as it is now clear that they
have no interest in the welfare of their
clients.
If you want to make profits from sports-arbitrage,
you will need to put the work in yourself
- please do not hand over your money for
investment to anyone who is unknown to you.
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Streetwise Marketing - Arbitrage Advisory
Service
This was the company which first introduced
me to arbitrage. I paid £50 for a
handbook, which was interesting enough to
prompt me to investigate further but nowhere
near detailed enough to be useful beyond
that. But the book provided me with the
push to learn more, so I am quite happy
to have purchased it.
At the back of the book, the author mentioned
a service which he provided to a "select
few owner of the book". An arb service
where he and his team would do all the work,
using their extensive experience to find
arbs and send them to me immediately by
email. Well, this sounded absolutely perfect.
The only problem was that they wanted £999
up front for a 12-month subscription. This
is pretty steep especially as at that time,
my betting bank was only £5000. But
the blurb was very convincing and I was
obviously very naive. I sent them my cheque
and within a week was placed on their mailing
list.Over a period of just under 3 months,
I received 53 arb emails from Streetwise.
Unfortunately, not even one was actually
bettable. On every single occasion the odds
shown on the Arb Alert did not concur with
those offered by at least one of the bookmakers
stated.
I had thought that I would really be able
to capitalise on the service as I’m
in an advantageous position - at home all
day and ready to act on Arbs as and when
they are sent. So, initially, I assumed
that I was doing something wrong.
I raised the problem with Streetwise and
they said the only delay is in the 'delivery'.
So I started monitoring the despatch and
receipt times on the alerts they sent, and
the lag times were never more than 1 minute.
It was becoming quite clear to me that these
arbs were dead before they were even being
sent out.
As I had been unable to make a single penny
I asked for a refund of the £999 I
had paid, which they refused. In fact the
proprietor actually told me that 3 months
was not enough time to see the service work.
In the entire year I received alerts from
this company I was able to make £64
on their information.
My advice is to steer well clear
of this "service".
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